Suns vs. Thunder (Nov 28, 2025) Pregame analysis and key numbers

Game context

The Phoenix Suns visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on November 28, 2025, for an NBA Cup group play matchup between two of the top teams in the Western Conference. The Suns enter at 12–7 and sixth in the West, while the Thunder hold an 18–1 record and sit first in the conference.

Betting line and totals

Sportsbooks set the Thunder as heavy home favorites, listing Oklahoma City at around -14.5 on the spread. The projected total is in the high 220s, reflecting expectations of an up-tempo, high-scoring contest between two efficient offenses.

Team offensive profile

Oklahoma City averages approximately 122.1 points per game, ranking near the top of the league and outpacing what Phoenix typically allows by nearly double digits. The Suns counter with strong perimeter shooting, hitting about 15.1 three-pointers per game, slightly more than the average number of threes the Thunder concede.

Recent form

The Thunder ride a dominant stretch, winning ten straight and scoring about 122 points per outing while holding opponents near 101. Phoenix has also been in good shape, going 8–2 over its last ten games, averaging roughly 117 points and allowing about 108 in that span.

Conference performance and close games

Oklahoma City posts a 14–1 record against Western Conference opponents, underscoring its control within the conference. Phoenix stands at 11–6 versus Western teams and has struggled slightly in tight contests, with only one win in three games decided by three points or fewer.

Key players to watch

For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the way with about 32.6 points, 6.6 assists, and notable impact on defense through steals. Rookie big man Chet Holmgren adds floor spacing, averaging around two made three-pointers over his recent ten-game stretch.

On the Suns’ side, Devin Booker drives the offense, averaging roughly 26 points and 6.9 assists per game. Frontcourt contributor Mark Williams has been highly productive lately, putting up about 21 points, 16 rebounds, four assists, and three steals over his last ten games.

Injuries and availability

Oklahoma City lists several rotational players on the injury report, including Aaron Wiggins and Jalen Williams as day-to-day and Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber sidelined longer term. These absences could test the Thunder’s depth but have not seriously slowed their early-season surge.

Pregame outlook

Statistically, the Thunder’s combination of elite scoring efficiency and strong defense gives them a clear pregame edge at home. Phoenix’s three-point volume and recent positive momentum provide a path to keep the game competitive if the Suns can stay hot from beyond the arc and manage turnovers.

Author’s summary

A powerhouse Thunder team hosts an in-form Suns squad, with Oklahoma City favored by double digits thanks to elite scoring balance, while Phoenix leans on Booker, threes, and recent momentum to chase an upset.

ESPN — 2025-11-27