NFL playoff picture ahead of Week 10

NFL Playoff Picture Ahead of Week 10

According to PFF simulations, the Pittsburgh Steelers have a 75% chance of making the playoffs if they win in Week 10. However, this probability falls to 42% if they lose.

The playoff picture is expected to change throughout the rest of the season, making it important to examine projected playoff chances. These projections estimate each team's likelihood of reaching the playoffs.

Projected Playoff Chances

The charts below illustrate each team's projected odds of making the playoffs, along with their playoff leverage—the impact a win or loss can have on those chances.

"The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss."

Author's summary: PFF’s Week 10 simulations highlight how a single game can significantly shift NFL teams' playoff odds, emphasizing the dynamic nature of the race.

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PFF PFF — 2025-11-05