UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds — College Football Week 11
South Florida is expected to control the tempo and win comfortably against UTSA on Thursday, November 6. The Bulls, eager to maintain their AAC and CFP ambitions, play at home after a disappointing loss to Memphis but enjoy extra rest before this matchup. Meanwhile, UTSA arrives energized following a strong showing against Tulane.
“Expect USF to dictate the pace and get just about anything it wants offensively.”
The prediction favors South Florida due to its dynamic offense and home-field advantage. Although UTSA’s win over Tulane was impressive on paper, the game revealed several fortunate breaks. Tulane’s errors — a crucial fumble, dropped touchdown pass, and missed short field goal — inflated the Roadrunners’ margin of victory.
UTSA vs South Florida Best Bet
Recommended wager: South Florida -13.5 (-115).
Team Analysis
- South Florida Bulls: Capable offense, motivated to bounce back from a loss, rested and playing at home.
- UTSA Roadrunners: Defensive metrics remain poor despite recent success; benefited from opponent mistakes in prior game.
Tulane’s performance metrics highlight UTSA’s defensive concerns, with a 13% explosive play rate among the top 15 nationally that week.
Author’s Summary
South Florida’s potent offense and home advantage make them the clear favorite to overcome UTSA, whose defense remains a major vulnerability.